Awareness, Partisanship and the Post-Convention Bounce: A Memory-Based Model of Post- Convention Presidential Candidate Evaluations Part 1—Introduction & Theoretical Analysis
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper employs panel data to estimate the effects of awareness and political partisanship on post-convention candidate evaluations. The theoretical framework proposed by John Zaller (1992) is employed; however, a functional form that differs greatly from Zaller’s proposed model is derived from Zaller’s assumption and then estimated using standard OLS regression. I find that partisans of the opposite party were more resistant to the convention message of Bush than Gore, awareness plays a greater role in determining predicted post-convention change for Gore, and that Gore’s message was received and accepted at a higher rate than Bush’s message.
منابع مشابه
Awareness, Partisanship and the Post-Convention Bounce: A Memory-Based Model of Post- Convention Presidential Candidate Evaluations Part II—Empirical Results
This paper continues an analysis, begun in the December 2004 issue, that employed panel data to estimate the effects of awareness and political partisanship on post-convention candidate evaluations. The derivation of a theoretical framework was discussed in Part 1 [1]. Empirical results using data from the US presidential election of 2000 are discussed in the present article. We find that parti...
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